To our surprise, the US economy has not entered a recession over the past two years. This is not because a recession has been avoided altogether but because the current economic cycle has been ...

The insurance industry, like any other, experiences economic cycles that can significantly impact growth. These cycles are often a reflection of broader economic trends. While the insurance industry ...

What is an economic supercycle? An economic supercycle typically refers to a prolonged period of expansion, which can last as long as a few decades. Opinions vary among economists as to the exact ...

An economic cycle measures an economy's performance over time. It has four notable periods before the cycle renews: expansion, peak, recession, and trough. During the expansion period of an economic ...

Two years ago, central banks embarked on the most aggressive monetary tightening in decades to restrain the extraordinarily expansive financing conditions deployed during the pandemic, measures that ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I share insight and perspective on financial advice and true wealth. A boom and bust cycle refers to the alternating periods of ...

However, warning signs are mounting that suggest stocks may have come too far, too fast. For instance, the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is sitting at its third-priciest reading in ...

The economic landscape is constantly shifting, creating both opportunities and challenges for businesses. While some companies struggle during downturns, others demonstrate resilience and thrive ...

As a proponent of the Austrian School of Economics, I fundamentally oppose state intervention in economic affairs, particularly the manipulation of interest rates by central banks. Before addressing ...

The banking industry performed exceptionally well during the strong economic expansion of the past five years. Strong demand for loans and banking services and the strong supply of quality customers ...

In our opinion, it’s not the case that the US economy has avoided a recession, but rather that the current cycle has been elongated. We use the commodity/gold ratio (the Spot Commodity Index (GNX) ...